Short- and Long-Term Partisanship: Campaign Effects and the Stability of Party Identification in Latin America
Rodrigo Castro Cornejo, Profesor Investigador Titular de la División de Estudios Políticos del CIDE, escribió el artículo Short- and Long-Term Partisanship: Campaign Effects and the Stability of Party Identification in Latin America en la revista Latin American Research Review.
Abstract
This study focuses on a dimension of partisanship overlooked by most comparative studies on campaign effects: individual-level stability, a measure of short-term partisanship. Some voters in young democracies are able to develop partisanship as a screen through which they observe the political world, leading them to interpret new information in a manner that reinforces their political predispositions. However, some voters lack long-term partisan attachments, enabling them to update their party identification as the campaign unfolds. These voters have a harder time reinforcing their precampaign dispositions and are more likely to change their vote intention. The findings suggest that for some voters, partisanship and vote choice are empirically intertwined.
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