Allyson Benton
Dra. Allyson Benton
Profesor Investigador Titular
SNI: Nivel II
allyson.benton@cide.edu
Tel.: 5727-98-00 ext. 2408
Web Personal: Allyson Benton, PhD, Webpage mi facebook mi twitter mi linkedin
CV inglés (pdf)
Semblanza I am a political economist focusing on Latin America at the subnational level. My research benefits from my deep in-country experience, sophisticated empirical methods, use of understudied subnational data, and prior work as a political risk analyst in the financial sector. rnrnMy main research examines political budget cycles, especially how political ambition affects subnational fiscal policy choice. In Mexico, I have observed that subnational leaders are involved in complex partisan policy networks, even though they must also compete with party colleagues in pursuit of higher-level positions. Yet, research has not yet examined how these dynamics interact. Guided by my recent research on subnational debt (Studies in Comparative International Development 2017; Governance 2017, coauthored), I examine the logic behind what I call “subnational partisan fiscal policy interdependence.” I argue that political ambition drives copartisan subnational leaders to compete with one another to appeal to higher-level party leaders’ fiscal policy preferences, in their pursuit of building successful political careers. Political careerism thus produces complex partisan networks of policy interdependence across space and time. In a first paper (Journal of Politics, forthcoming), I explain how political ambition drives vertical partisan fiscal policy interdependence. In a second paper (being prepared for submission), I explain how political ambition also drives horizontal partisan fiscal policy interdependence. This research makes an important contribution to knowledge about subnational political budget cycles by showing how partisan political ambition integrates them across space and time. rnrnMy second line of research examines how participatory political institutions contribute to governance, specifically how subnational authoritarian leaders use these institutions to strengthen their hold on power. My research in Mexico shows that participatory institutions have been used by subnational authoritarian leaders to boost their political control, producing what I call “authoritarian participatory governance.” The best-known case in Mexico is the state of Oaxaca, whose government assigned participatory institutions to many of its 570 municipalities in 1995, before the transition to national democracy (2000). I show that these institutions were assigned by state autocrats to municipalities whose mayors could be trusted to work for the state-level regime (Democratization 2017), and that these mayors used these institutions to manage electoral participation and generate winning margins (Comparative Politics 2012; Journal of Politics in Latin America 2016). This allowed Oaxaca’s subnational authoritarian rulers to survive in power even national democratization. My aim is to contribute to research on how the adoption of participatory institutions in both democratic (Bolivia, Brazil, Venezuela) and non-democratic (China, Indonesia, Mexico) settings can be used by local incumbents to strengthen their hold on power. rnrnIn a new side project, I examine the impact of economic policy statements on financial markets. In an article manuscript “Does @theRealDonaldTrump Really Affect Financial Markets?” (revise & resubmit, coauthored), I examine the impact of economic policy statements made by US President Donald J. Trump (via the microblogging site Twitter) on financial markets. Research on politics and financial markets suggests that Trump’s economic policy “tweets” should not matter to markets, because each merely restates his well-known policy views. In contrast, my coauthor and I argue that Trump's policy tweets should affect financial markets because they clarify his level of commitment to his economic policy goals. We test this argument using data on Trump's Mexico-related policy tweets and the US dollar/Mexican peso exchange rate. We find that Trump's Mexico-related tweets raised US dollar/Mexican peso exchange rate volatility both when his views were first becoming known, as well as thereafter, in line with our expectations. This project builds on my prior work on the impact of presidential election polls and the stock market in Mexico, published in Political Research Quarterly 2007 and Business & Politics 2013.
Artículos
  • Violent Crime and Capital Market Punishment: How Violent Crime Affects the Supply of Debt to Municipal Mexico
    Allyson Lucinda Benton. Violent Crime and Capital Market Punishment: How Violent Crime Affects the Supply of Debt to Municipal Mexico,” Studies in Comparative International Development, Vol. 52, No. 4, December 2017 (pp. 483-509).
    2017-01-01
  • The Impact of Parties and Elections on Municipal Debt Policy in Mexico
    Benton, Allyson Lucinda, and Heidi Jane M. Smith. The Impact of Parties and Elections on Municipal Debt policy in Mexico, Governance: An International Journal of Policy, Administration, and Institutions, Version of Record online: 17 AUG 2016 | DOI: 10.1111/gove.12234
    2016-01-01
  • Configuring authority over electoral manipulation in electoral authoritarian regimes: evidence from Mexico
    Benton, Allyson Lucinda. Configuring authority over electoral manipulation in electoral authoritarian regimes: evidence from Mexico, Democratization, published online: 05 Oct 2016 pp 1-23 doi: 10.1080/13510347.2016.1236789
    2016-01-01
  • The Role of Metropolitan Cooperation and Administrative Capacity in Subnational Debt Dynamics: Evidence From Municipal Mexico
    Smith, Heidi Jane M., and Allyson Lucinda Benton. The Role of Metropolitan Cooperation and Administrative Capacity in Subnational Debt Dynamics: Evidence From Municipal Mexico, Public Budgeting and Finance, First published: February 2017, DOI: 10.1111/pbaf.12155
    2015-01-01
  • How “Participatory Governance” Strengthens Authoritarian Regimes: Evidence from Electoral Authoritarian Oaxaca, Mexico
    Benton, Allyson Lucinda. 2016. How 'Participatory Governance' Strengthens Authoritarian Regimes: Evidence from Electoral Authoritarian Oaxaca, Mexico, Journal of Politics in Latin America, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp.37-70.
    2016-01-01
  • México 2017: Incumbent Disadvantage Ahead of 2018 / México 2017: El gobierno en desventaja rumbo al 2018
    Edwin Atilano Robles y Allyson Lucinda Benton. México 2017: Incumbent Disadvantage Ahead of 2018 / México 2017: El gobierno en desventaja rumbo al 2018, Revista de Ciencia Política, volumen 38, No. 2, 2018, pp. 303-333
    2018-01-01
  • Party Leader or Party Reputation Concerns? How Vertical Partisan Alignment Reins in Subnational Fiscal Profligacy
    Allyson Lucinda Benton. Party Leader or Party Reputation Concerns? How Vertical Partisan Alignment Reins in Subnational Fiscal Profligacy, The Journal of Politics, volume 81, number 1. Published online September 26, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/700201
    2017-01-01
  • Partisan policy promises and sector-specific stock-market performance: evidence from Mexico's 2006 presidential campaign
    Allyson Benton, Partisan policy promises and sector-specific stock-market performance: evidence from Mexico's 2006 presidential campaign, Business and Politics 2013 DOI: 10.1515/BAP-2012-0037
    2019-01-01
  • Bottom-Up Challenges to Nacional Democracy: Latin America's (Legal) Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves, The Case of Mexico.
    Benton, Allyson. “Bottom-Up Challenges to National Democracy: Mexico’s (Legal) Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves,” Comparative Politics, Vol. 44, No. 3, April 2012.
    2019-01-01
  • The Catholic Church, Political Institutions, and Electoral Outcomes in Oaxaca, Mexico.
    Benton, Allyson. The Catholic Church, Political Institutions, and Electoral Outcomes in Oaxaca, Mexico, Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales, Año LVI, núm. 213, septiembre-diciembre 2011, UNAM
    2019-01-01
Capítulo de libro
  • Reconsidering Electoral Contestation Through Voter Mobilisation
    Reconsidering Electoral Contestation Through Voter Mobilisation, en Anthony Petros Spanakos and Francisco Panizza (editors): Conceptualising Comparative Politics, (Conceptualising comparative politics: polities, peoples, and markets), New York and London: Routledge, 2016
    2015-01-01
  • Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves and Their Impact on National Democratic Rule: Evidence from Mexico
    Subnational Authoritarian Enclaves and Their Impact on National Democratic Rule: Evidence from Mexico, en Víctor M. González-Sánchez (editor): Economy, Politics and Governance Challenges for the 21st Century, Economic Issues, Problems and Perspectives, NY: Nova Publishers, 2015
    2015-01-01
  • (How) Do National Authoritarian Regimes Manage Conflictive Ethnically Diverse Populations? Evidence from the Case of Mexico
    “(How) Do National Authoritarian Regimes Manage Conflictive Ethnically Diverse Populations? Evidence from the Case of Mexico,” in Institutional Innovation and the Steering of Conflicts in Latin America, Jorge Gordin and Lucio Renno, eds. (Colchester, UK: ECPR Press, 2017).
    2017-01-01
Documento de trabajo
  • A Rational Partissan Explanation for Irrational (Sub) Sovereign Debt Behavior: Evidence from Municipal Mexico
    Allyson Benton y Heidi Smith. A Rational Partissan Explanation for Irrational (Sub) Sovereign Debt Behavior: Evidence from Municipal Mexico, México: CIDE, DTEP 264, 2014
    2019-01-01
  • Political Career or Party Reputational Concerns? Determining How Partisan Effects Matter for Subnational Fiscal Discipline
    Allyson Benton y Heidi Smith, Political Career or Party Reputational Concerns? Determining How Partisan Effects Matter for Subnational Fiscal Discipline, Evidence from Mexico, México, CIDE, DTEP 252, 2013
    2019-01-01

Síguenos